WNBA Props 7/9
Another day of early games so we are getting some early looks to attack the slate.
Aneesah Morrow Over 5.5 Rebounds (-135 Draftkings)
She is projected to be in the starting lineup again as Tina Charles continues to deal with that shoulder injury. The Sun are a very bad team and much worse without Mabrey playing so almost every game you expect a blowout, and yet Morrow gets blowout run. This game has a 17-point spread. Against the Aces last game, she played the entire fourth quarter (going into the quarter was a 20-point lead). The game before that was a 39-point loss to the Lynx where she played 5 minutes in the 4th quarter. And finally, the game before that was the Storm game with a 16-point loss where Charles was pulled early in the 3rd quarter and Morrow played the rest of the game. She played 22+ minutes in three straight games. when she sees 18+ minutes, she’s over this line in 4/5 games. I’m expecting 22+ minutes yet again.
Aliyah Boston Over 8.5 Reb (-108 Fanduel)
Caitlin Clark is back, and her stats become more efficient. In games with Clark, she’s over this line in 7/9 games, but if you factor in a non-top five opponent rebounding teams, that moves to being over in 6/7 and averaging 10.9 rpg. The Valkyries started off the first month of games well in limiting rebounding and crashing the offensive glass, but lately teams have still been able to rebound on them, and last time they played back on June 19th, she went for 12 rebounds. In the last five games, the Valkyries have allowed the 5th most rebounds and in the last 10 they’ve allowed the 8th most. Another area to attack this team rebounding is through the offensive glass in which Boston leads her team in.
Kayla McBride Under 14.5 Points (-115)
With Collier playing, overall, she is under in 7/13 games this season. She’s already had a game with those against the Mercury where she three threes and still went under this 14.5 line. She is currently favored to go under 2.5 threes made today (odds between -150 and -170). Even then, when she makes three or less threes this season with Collier, she’s under this line in 7/10 games while averaging 31 mpg and 11.4 ppg. If you tack on a non-top five 3PA defense on the season, she’s under in 5/6 games.