WNBA Player Props 7/3
Low on time to get full slate breakdown, but I will get some props out. Last time it wasn't as good with 1-2 day but five game slate with a ton of options to choose from.
Dearica Hamby Over 21.5 Points+Rebounds (-128 Fanduel)
The Liberty defending the paint have been bad since Jonquel Jones went down and that also gives room for opponents to grab boards. they are the 2nd worst in keeping opponents off the glass and since Jones went down, it hasn’t improved. When looking at paint scoring, they are allowing the most points in the paint in the month of June. When she faces a bottom 7 rebounding defense, she’s over in 9/11 games. Those two misses she had were in 31 point and 18 point blowout losses. Some recent frontcourt performances versus the Liberty are:
Brionna Jones (27 PR)
Brittney Griner (18 PR)
Satou Sabally (31 PR)
Kayla Thornton (18 PR)
Monique Billings (9 PR) no 4Q run
Nneka Ogwumike (33 PR)
Ezi Magbegor (14 PR)
Jordin Canada Over 5.5 Assists (-110 Caesars)
No Rhyne Howard and in the last two games we seen Canada’s minutes increase into the 30’s. According to PBPStats, With Rhyne Howard off the court, she’s averaging 12.7 assists per 100 possessions. In the last two games with 30+ minutes, she's tallied 10 and 19 potential assists (according to Andrew Wade). She is over this line in 3/3 games this season with 26+ minutes and if you include last season she’s over in 16/22 games. She played 17 of the 20 minutes in the second half and could definitely see 30+ minutes again here based on that usage.
Sami Whitcomb Under 9.5 Points (-113 Fanduel)
Sami relies on the three ball a ton and the Wings have been focused on limiting that shot. 71% of her field goal attempts are three-point attempts. In the last 6 games the Wings are allowing the 2nd fewest three-point attempts as only the Mystics have been better. They are also allowing the 3rd fewest threes made within that span. She is favored to go under 2.5 3PM today but even with 3 or less threes made with 20+ minutes played, she’s under her points line in 10/11 games. Now if you think she goes over her points line, you are better off taking her for 4+ 3PM which much better value (+310 on Fanduel).